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Abstract

BACKGROUND

Doxycycline post-exposure prophylaxis (doxy-PEP) has been shown to reduce the incidence of chlamydia and syphilis among men who have sex with men (MSM) at high risk of sexually transmitted infections (STIs). However, doxy-PEP adds antibiotic exposure and may select for tetracycline resistance in both target and bystander bacteria, raising concerns about antimicrobial resistance (AMR). Quantifying additional antibiotic consumption from doxy-PEP is important for assessing its potential AMR impact at population level.

AIM

We estimated the potential increase in doxycycline consumption attributable to doxy-PEP among MSM using HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) and compared it with overall doxycycline and tetracycline-class consumption.

METHODS

We used Monte Carlo simulation to estimate annual doxycycline use from doxy-PEP among MSM using PrEP. We estimated population size from the 2024 European MSM Internet Survey and derived doxy-PEP uptake and prescribing frequency from expert elicitation. Estimated consumption in defined daily doses (DDD) per year was compared with tetracycline-class and doxycycline antibiotic use reported by the European Surveillance of Antimicrobial Consumption Network.

RESULTS

Doxy-PEP among MSM using PrEP in the EU/EEA could result in an estimated 4.4 million DDDs of doxycycline annually (95% credible interval (CrI): 0.5–18.1 million), corresponding to a 1.9% increase (95% CrI: 0.2–7.7) relative to 2023 doxycycline consumption.

CONCLUSION

The estimated Doxy-PEP use constitutes a non-negligible share of total doxycycline consumption in the EU/EEA. Monitoring doxy-PEP uptake and AMR indicators will be essential as more countries consider integrating this intervention into STI prevention strategies.

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2026-08-06
2026-09-13
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2026.31.31.2500913
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