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Estimating the impact of doxycycline post-exposure prophylaxis on antibiotic consumption among men who have sex with men using PrEP in the EU/EEA
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View Affiliations Hide AffiliationsCorrespondence:Disa HanssonDisa.Hansson ecdc.europa.eu
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Citation style for this article: . Estimating the impact of doxycycline post-exposure prophylaxis on antibiotic consumption among men who have sex with men using PrEP in the EU/EEA. Euro Surveill. 2026;31(31):pii=2500913. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2026.31.31.2500913 Received: 03 Dec 2025; Accepted: 07 May 2026
Abstract
Doxycycline post-exposure prophylaxis (doxy-PEP) has been shown to reduce the incidence of chlamydia and syphilis among men who have sex with men (MSM) at high risk of sexually transmitted infections (STIs). However, doxy-PEP adds antibiotic exposure and may select for tetracycline resistance in both target and bystander bacteria, raising concerns about antimicrobial resistance (AMR). Quantifying additional antibiotic consumption from doxy-PEP is important for assessing its potential AMR impact at population level.
We estimated the potential increase in doxycycline consumption attributable to doxy-PEP among MSM using HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) and compared it with overall doxycycline and tetracycline-class consumption.
We used Monte Carlo simulation to estimate annual doxycycline use from doxy-PEP among MSM using PrEP. We estimated population size from the 2024 European MSM Internet Survey and derived doxy-PEP uptake and prescribing frequency from expert elicitation. Estimated consumption in defined daily doses (DDD) per year was compared with tetracycline-class and doxycycline antibiotic use reported by the European Surveillance of Antimicrobial Consumption Network.
Doxy-PEP among MSM using PrEP in the EU/EEA could result in an estimated 4.4 million DDDs of doxycycline annually (95% credible interval (CrI): 0.5–18.1 million), corresponding to a 1.9% increase (95% CrI: 0.2–7.7) relative to 2023 doxycycline consumption.
The estimated Doxy-PEP use constitutes a non-negligible share of total doxycycline consumption in the EU/EEA. Monitoring doxy-PEP uptake and AMR indicators will be essential as more countries consider integrating this intervention into STI prevention strategies.
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