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Interim 2025/26 influenza vaccine effectiveness estimates with immuno-epidemiological considerations for A(H3N2) subclade K protection, Canada, January 2026
- Lea Separovic1 , Suzana Sabaiduc1 , Yuping Zhan1 , Samantha E Kaweski1 , Romy Olsha2 , Maan Hasso2 , Richard G Mather2,3 , Sara Carazo4 , Christine Lacroix4 , Isabelle Meunier4 , Lila N Salhi4 , James A Dickinson5 , Nathan Zelyas6 , Agatha N Jassem1 , Katie Dover1 , Charlene Ranadheera7 , Ruimin Gao7 , Nathalie Bastien7 , Danuta M Skowronski1,8
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View Affiliations Hide AffiliationsAffiliations: 1 British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada 2 Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Canada 3 Queen’s University, Kingston, Canada 4 Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Québec, Canada 5 University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada 6 Public Health Laboratory, Alberta Precision Laboratories, Edmonton, Canada 7 National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Winnipeg, Canada 8 University of British Columbia, Vancouver, CanadaCorrespondence:Danuta M SkowronskiDanuta.skowronski bccdc.ca
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Citation style for this article: Separovic Lea, Sabaiduc Suzana, Zhan Yuping, Kaweski Samantha E, Olsha Romy, Hasso Maan, Mather Richard G, Carazo Sara, Lacroix Christine, Meunier Isabelle, Salhi Lila N, Dickinson James A, Zelyas Nathan, Jassem Agatha N, Dover Katie, Ranadheera Charlene, Gao Ruimin, Bastien Nathalie, Skowronski Danuta M. Interim 2025/26 influenza vaccine effectiveness estimates with immuno-epidemiological considerations for A(H3N2) subclade K protection, Canada, January 2026. Euro Surveill. 2026;31(5):pii=2600068. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2026.31.5.2600068 Received: 30 Jan 2026; Accepted: 05 Feb 2026
Abstract
In interim 2025/26 analyses, the Canadian Sentinel Practitioner Surveillance Network estimates influenza vaccine reduced the risk of medically-attended acute respiratory illness due to predominant influenza A(H3N2) viruses, including antigenically distinct subclade K, by about 40% relative to unvaccinated individuals. Vaccine effectiveness was about 30% against A(H1N1)pdm09, with insufficient case numbers for interim influenza B estimation. Meaningful protection against subclade K, despite substantial vaccine mismatch, is interpreted in the context of immuno-epidemiological considerations, including potential viral glycosylation, imprinting, and pre-immunity effects.
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