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Abstract

A large chikungunya outbreak is ongoing in Italy, with a main cluster in the Anzio coastal municipality. With preliminary epidemiological data, and a transmission model using mosquito abundance and biting rates, we estimated the basic reproduction number R at 2.07 (95% credible interval: 1.47–2.59) and the first case importation between 21 May and 18 June 2017. Outbreak risk was higher in coastal/rural sites than urban ones. Novel transmission foci could occur up to mid-November.

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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.44.17-00685
2017-11-02
2017-11-22
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.44.17-00685
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