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Abstract

A large chikungunya outbreak is ongoing in Italy, with a main cluster in the Anzio coastal municipality. With preliminary epidemiological data, and a transmission model using mosquito abundance and biting rates, we estimated the basic reproduction number R at 2.07 (95% credible interval: 1.47–2.59) and the first case importation between 21 May and 18 June 2017. Outbreak risk was higher in coastal/rural sites than urban ones. Novel transmission foci could occur up to mid-November.

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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.44.17-00685
2017-11-02
2024-09-16
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.44.17-00685
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Transmission dynamics of the ongoing chikungunya outbreak in Central Italy: from coastal areas to the metropolitan city of Rome, summer 2017
<p class="citation"> <span>Citation style for this article:</span> <span class="meta-value authors"> <a href="/search?value1=Mattia+Manica&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Manica Mattia</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Giorgio+Guzzetta&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Guzzetta Giorgio</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Piero+Poletti&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Poletti Piero</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Federico+Filipponi&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Filipponi Federico</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Angelo+Solimini&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Solimini Angelo</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Beniamino+Caputo&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Caputo Beniamino</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Alessandra+della+Torre&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">della Torre Alessandra</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Roberto+Ros%C3%A0&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Rosà Roberto</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Stefano+Merler&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Merler Stefano</a></span>. Transmission dynamics of the ongoing chikungunya outbreak in Central Italy: from coastal areas to the metropolitan city of Rome, summer 2017. <a href="/content/ecdc">Euro Surveill.</a> 2017;22(44):pii=17-00685. <a href="https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.44.17-00685" title="doi link" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.44.17-00685</a> <span class="ES_Article_citation"> <span class="generated">Received</span>: 11 Oct 2017;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="generated">Accepted</span>: 31 Oct 2017 </span> </p>
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.44.17-00685
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