- Julien Riou1, Christian L. Althaus1
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View Affiliations Hide AffiliationsCorrespondence:Julien Rioujulien.riou ispm.unibe.ch
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Citation style for this article: Riou Julien, Althaus Christian L.. Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020. Euro Surveill. 2020;25(4):pii=2000058. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058 Received: 24 Jan 2020; Accepted: 30 Jan 2020
Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020
Abstract
Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R0 of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.
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