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Abstract

Several Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a locked-down town. The larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed.

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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280
2020-04-02
2020-08-15
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280
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